Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.128718 0.151524 0.177026 0.207632 0.243347 0.283689 0.332701
2025-11-02 0.091453 0.119806 0.154871 0.201337 0.261217 0.335706 0.435343
2025-11-09 0.068945 0.097888 0.136493 0.191581 0.267997 0.370078 0.516630
2025-11-16 0.056813 0.086185 0.127865 0.191049 0.284113 0.415821 0.616025
2025-11-23 0.046725 0.075125 0.117676 0.185683 0.291217 0.448245 0.699033
2025-11-30 0.041057 0.069516 0.114262 0.189200 0.310972 0.500319 0.816132
2025-12-07 0.035804 0.063588 0.109259 0.189109 0.324461 0.543579 0.923806
2025-12-14 0.030734 0.057095 0.102274 0.184515 0.329538 0.573298 1.012165
2025-12-21 0.027174 0.052647 0.098033 0.183814 0.340720 0.613786 1.122441
2025-12-28 0.025200 0.050763 0.097982 0.190376 0.365191 0.679321 1.283067
2026-01-04 0.023691 0.049517 0.098872 0.198660 0.393567 0.754487 1.468816
2026-01-11 0.021917 0.047471 0.097941 0.203254 0.415348 0.819595 1.642508
2026-01-18 0.019676 0.044313 0.094747 0.203666 0.430443 0.876426 1.812394
2026-01-25 0.017081 0.040021 0.088724 0.197627 0.432120 0.908061 1.938011
2026-02-01 0.014571 0.035497 0.081538 0.188059 0.425087 0.921221 2.027437
2026-02-08 0.013120 0.033150 0.078713 0.187539 0.437214 0.974991 2.207763
2026-02-15 0.011527 0.030196 0.074089 0.182268 0.438058 1.004729 2.339595
2026-02-22 0.010694 0.028971 0.073282 0.185723 0.459117 1.080759 2.582405
2026-03-01 0.009742 0.027286 0.071129 0.185633 0.471813 1.139402 2.792381
2026-03-08 0.008665 0.025091 0.067402 0.181122 0.473229 1.172195 2.945803
2026-03-15 0.007902 0.023621 0.065301 0.180433 0.483980 1.228093 3.160725
2026-03-22 0.007536 0.023209 0.065902 0.186878 0.513663 1.332934 3.507204
2026-03-29 0.007263 0.023019 0.067074 0.195014 0.548774 1.455013 3.910456